Check out the Bob Krum blog and his analysis on the unfounded optimism of Obama supporters and next weeks general election. This is something I have been wondering about with with the trends being seen with the recent Gallup and Ramussn polls. An incumbent simply can't win if his ceiling is around 47%. Kevin Dejan at Hillbuzz also has some interesting information on this phenomena.
I personally believe it will be Romney in a landslide type situation. Obama internals must be tanking if he is sending plugs to Minnesota and buying more ads in supposedly safe Pennsylvania. Mitt is by no means the best candidate out there but for were we are with real inflation and real unemployment double or higher than the governments bull**** figures, he at least offers a different message than the failed hope and change perpetual campaign machine that we have all seen since inauguration day.
Here are the links.
It is in two parts.